“There will be a bloodbath and an end to the Putin regime”: what awaits the Russian Federation during the invasion of Ukraine

The accumulation of Russian troops near Ukraine does not pose a threat of a full-scale invasion, but in the event of a major war, the invaders will face heavy losses, which will turn into a catastrophe for the entire Putin regime.

This opinion was expressed in “Talk Show No. 1” on the Ukraine 24 TV channel by the adviser to the head of the OPU, the speaker of the Ukrainian side in the Trilateral Contact Group Oleksiy Arestovich.

He notes that there are no signs of the creation of strike groups now, and the troops that Russia is transferring near Ukraine are its bilateral exercises. According to him, their polygons are just close to our borders, but it looks like the trains are going to Ukraine.

“We do not see any additional activity – only planned,” Arestovich said.

According to him, all these troop concentrations are used only to escalate the situation and put pressure on Ukraine. He also said what would happen if Russia went for a full-scale invasion.

“If there is a full-scale war, there will be a terrible bloody bath, both for us and for the Russian Federation. I think it is difficult now to say how it will end, but it will not be easy for anyone. The Russian Federation does not have a decisive advantage … In this case, success 50 to 50, and it can be anything. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are ready for any scenario, even according to the scenario of a full-scale conflict. We are ready not only for a full-scale defense, but also for the transition to a counter-offensive in certain directions. Planning was carried out back in April. A general plan and response scenario was developed with foreign partners, “Arestovich said.

In the event of a major war against Ukraine, Russia will suffer such losses that it will lose its combat effectiveness for five years.

“In addition, the consequences may be such that the Putin regime will shake, huge sanctions and fines will come, because not only the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but the entire Ukrainian people will resist. This is very well known. their resistance will grow. So there will be no easy walk here … I don’t really understand why the leadership of the Russian Federation needs this. If they dare, it will be the end of the Putin regime, “Arestovich summed up.

Could Putin Attack Ukraine Again?

• Earlier, political scientist Vadim Karasev, in his commentary on Segodnya, expressed the opinion that there would be no Russian invasion of Donbass. However, he does not exclude that attacks on the Armed Forces of Ukraine may intensify on the part of the so-called militants. “L / DNR”.
• The ex-head of the SBU Investigation Department, Major General Vasily Vovk, told where to expect a possible invasion of the Russian troops. He believes that Russia wants to deprive Ukraine of its access to the sea.
• At the same time, military expert Oleg Zhdanov explained that it would “shine” for Russia if he openly attacked Ukraine. According to him, the likelihood of a threat of a Russian invasion exists, but Putin’s entourage is unlikely to allow him to carry out these plans.
• Andrei Illarionov, senior researcher at the Center for Security Policy (Washington, USA), ex-adviser to Putin, said that the current troop concentration is unlikely to invade Ukraine.