Is it possible to say that the 12-day activity of Israeli and American blows destroyed the nuclear program of Iran?
Today, this is at least paralyzed. Iran was discarded from many years ago. This is a fact, writes Kirill Danilchenko for lb.ua.
Since it is possible to remove reserves of radioactive materials (300-400 kg), the most valuable equipment, but thousands of centrifuge for enriching uranium up to 40-60-90% cannot be evacuated.
But strategically not – a strategically nuclear program can be stopped only by falling a regime in Tehran.
Of course, no one will go to it. No 12 days, no 120.
Israel shot more than a year with Lebanon with a population of 5.7 million people and reached a ceasefire only due to an intensive and bloody ground operation.
Hezbollah suffered heavy losses, but Israel did not destroy it, did not disarm it, the organization’s leaders did not decide on his dissolution – he left the Litani River. This is a clear defeat and a decrease in the possibility of shelling of Northern Israel, but not a defeat.
The same applies to Hamas – they are traded in the withdrawal of the Israeli defense army from this sector, international guarantees and money for restoration.
Does anyone look like a change? I am not very.
Of course, now no one is ready to collect the coalition to organize a long war with 90 million Iran.
The EU simply does not have geopolitical ambitions, all these Francis and Great Britain burned many times in the capital’s areas, they are not worried that local residents can scare everything and begin to cut each other – they know for sure that this will happen.
Because it is impossible to force people to develop forcibly.
The paradox is that theocracy and dictatorship are technologically lag behind in scientific races, instead they perfectly fix the regime with the help of AI, propaganda via the Internet, various systems of recognition of faces and legs. That is, technologies invented in democracies provide them with the invariability of power and political course.
That is, they pay the future of 90 million people for comfort a bunch of functionaries and officials.
Until now, these are the inhabitants of Iran, as well as the demonstrations and attempts of the coup against the background of dozens of strokes in the basded police and the Quir (which are largely involved in political terror), we do not see. And neither the EU nor the United States will pay for the overthrow of Trillion and the life of their own citizens.
Iraq showed how this could end: “Islamic state” is no less evil than Saddam.
Tehran was thrown back for many years, but the country can continue its nuclear program.
In the end, centrifuges for enrichment, even modern gas, Iran produces and can import from the conditional DPRK, which is no longer frightened. They put off places east of the country and increase air defense.
Nevertheless, the price of such a program from the sanctions and attempts to circumvent them is estimated at almost 3 trillion dollars.
At one time, the leaders of Pakistan said they are ready to eat grass, but the mother of nuclear weapons – with Tehran it turned out that the Persian wandering project suffered, but the goals have not yet achieved.
Thus, judging by what we see in satellite images, the object in Fordo affects the “natural hammer” operation.
The Americans GBU-57 created such missions in underground plants, bunkers and mines of the PRC and Iran, after the saddam was tested in the previous generation of ammunition of bunkers, and the results were found insufficient.
It does not matter how many meters of stones, mountains or concrete were above the Ford, because any object can be achieved with the help of vulnerable paths, gates, gates, ventilation, and input points of water.
The place where special ammunition will be guaranteed, a kinetic blow and an explosive wave will destroy the life support system, share a stone, so that it will become a cloud of fragments inside.
The Pentagon said that about 14 13-ton ammunition issued: 12-Bai-Ford and 2 on the underground hall to enrich uranium in Nathas.
Fordo satellite images clearly show two groups of craters 3.
What does it mean? They were used one after another in one lump – expanding and deepening it.
The blow itself was aimed at the ventilation holes to be guaranteed to break them, and that the shock wave was drained inside.
It was, as well as fragments of concrete, mechanisms and ventilation shaft, and caused the main damage in the facility.
Ventilation systems were blocked, the structure of the plant from the thickness of the mountain was naked, and the fire was caused inside the complex.
It does not matter 60 meters or less than the explosion, conflicting bombs can pass. 2.5 tons of explosives in each is terrible destruction, despite the systems of bumper and reinforced concrete.
The fact that they did not even consider it necessary to apply additional attacks on electrification, water supply and warehouses around, for example, Tomahavka or Hel Ga-Avir, which those who planned this operation were quite satisfied with the results.
In the end, the cast iron deficiency in the USA and Israel are not observed – they can comb them around the landscape, but did not.
Thus, they calculated that losses are more than sufficient.
Judging by the fact that there is no proof about the loss of Israel or the USA in the air? F-35 is the next generation plane, and the B-2 is still the most technological council of the planet.
The same obstacles of the AN/ASQ-239 Barracuda received the fourth iteration based on the information received during the war in Ukraine, so Iran simply could not work on them in the cap for obstacles and false purposes.
In connection with the drones, controlled bombs, the anti -radio -smoking missiles of Israel, the sky for strokes according to the nuclear program and the destruction of Shahmed or launch units could be cleaned.
But Iran released 520 ballistic missiles in Israel, despite the fact that the tile captured the sky, suppressed the air defense and violated the Air Force, destroyed from one third to half of the mobile strategic missiles.
However, no more than forty missiles passed a missile shield. But if it were the first blow, it would be extremely painful. Note in the suspension of Haifer suspended production after a paired arrival.
This means that although the Iranian strategy has not played, they will work on an increase in the number of simultaneous launches and accuracy of ballistics. The death of several generals and 700-800 fighters is not the blow that Iran will deliver to the shoulder blades.
Moscow will undoubtedly give all the promotion of this plan. Most likely, Iranian aircraft and air defense and China, which requires stable supply of hydrocarbons from the Persian Gulf, is now aggravated.
For the first time, the US Air Force and Israeli Air Force worked together – this is a historical milestone for the Middle East. But will this be enough to stop pouring blood into the region?
The lesson for us is the only one, but very clear. Israel chose the time – the fall of Syria and the departure from Lebanon, relatively friendly governments in Jordan, Egypt and Iraq.
Over the Israelis were beaten by the Americans, and the Jordan was intercepted by the drones.
But even several hundred modern aircraft and thousands of bombs with a high level of relapse, a successful operation to destroy the top, with a violation of community, direct military assistance of superpowers is enough to perform quick tasks, but not enough to cope with an existential threat.
The regime will continue, Iran will continue to develop both nuclear weapons and ballistics, correct the costs of Shahas, which, as a result of this camp, have reached only a single blow.
This is not a world is a pause for 5-10 years.
The cost of the war for Israel with an appeal of 350 thousand people in several years, the consumption of several hundred interceptors and the consumption of thousands of bombs with a high level of purpose can be very burdensome – 10% of GDP were an optimistic figure of Hamas surgery.
You can win the war, but not reach the world. At the same time, the dictatorship can bear a lot of losses and harm, but resist.
Source: Obozrevatel
I have been working as a journalist for over 10 years. In that time, I have covered the news from all corners of the world, and written about everything from politics to business.I’m now a full-time author, and my work can be found at Global happenings. My aim is to bring you up-to-date news and views on global affairs, in a format that is easy to read and understand.
