The threat of nuclear war between India and Pakistan: what doctrines and how many missiles have countries

The Minister of Defense of Pakistan Havaja Asa said that at that moment the country did not consider the use of its nuclear arsenal. Nevertheless, the conflict with India on Kashmir continues to be a source of tension in South Asia, which threatens regional and world security. Both countries have nuclear weapons, which makes any armed conflict extremely dangerous for the whole world.

According to al -jazis, the situation in the region remains extremely tense. The publication notes that on the one hand – India, which announces the inviolability of its borders, on the other – Pakistan, who insisted on Kashmir’s right to self -determination for decades.

India first held a nuclear test in 1974And Pakistan – In 1998, Almost immediately after India completed the second trial. Since then, both countries not only have not reduced their arsenals, but also improved missiles, mobile platforms and restraint.

Indian doctrine is based on the principle “Do not apply first.” This means that India will not use nuclear weapons without a preliminary nuclear attack. However, after the events of 2019, when India inflicted an air strike in Pakistan in response to a terrorist act, the calls began to see this strategy in India.

The basic principles of the nuclear doctrine of India

1. The principle of “do not apply the first” (nfu) – India is primarily obliged not to use nuclear weapons, and its arsenal will be used only in the case of a nuclear attack. This reduces the risk of escalation of nuclear conflicts, although this principle can be changed in case of changes in the external environment.
2. Minimum restraint – The country does not strive for huge reserves of nuclear weapons, but focused on creating a minimum, but reliable arsenal for the content of threats.
3. Massive – The Indian state reserves the right to deliver a huge nuclear blow in response to nuclear aggression, in particular, destroy the critical objects of the enemy.
4. Exception for biological and chemical weapons – India can use nuclear weapons in response to the use of biological or chemical weapons.

According to the Sipri Spkholm Institute, as of 2024, India 172 nuclear warheads, And Pakistan – About 170. Nevertheless, the greatest threat is not only the number of warheads, but also how they can be used.

Pakistan is not obliged not to use nuclear weapons first of all and reserves the opportunity to use nuclear weapons at any stage of the conflict. Pakistan is actively developing tactical nuclear ammunition, which allows them to use even in ordinary hostilities. Such weapons have less power and can be used on the battlefield.

The main aspects of the nuclear doctrine of Pakistan

1. Strategic ambiguity – The country does not publish clear conditions for nuclear weapons in order to maintain the ability to respond to various threats.
2. Four triggers for the use of nuclear weapons – Pakistan has identified four main situations in which you can use nuclear weapons.
3. Development of tactical nuclear weapons (TAOO) – The state is actively working on the creation of tactical nuclear ammunition, which can be used even on the battlefield.

Both countries currently have long -term and medium -sized missiles. India has intercontinental Agni-V rocket, This may even impress Beijing, while in Pakistan there are missiles Average range with mobile initial installationsField

Indian strategy is concentrated on the full answer While Pakistani – On a quick blowMake the enemy before the retreat to the deployment of the Great War. This creates significant asymmetry and makes the situation extremely unstable.

Threat Increases information about information: Political rhetoric in both countries in recent years It becomes more aggressiveThis can lead to populist decisions that are not always They are taken cold.

The international community has repeatedly called for de -escalation, but from the lack of effective mechanisms of influence, the situation will remain critical. Both countries are not parties in the agreement on non -publication of nuclear weapons and continue to develop and improve their nuclear systems. Therefore, the region, including Kashmir, remains one of the most dangerous points on the map of the world.

According to OBOZ.ua that on the evening of May 6, India began the Sindura Operation, struck the territory of Pakistan. Islamabad answered, after which the parties continued to exchange strikes, and both declared victims among civilians.

After that, India closed airports located near the border with Pakistan. According to NOTAM, several dozen airports will be completely closed in the northern and north-west Indian regions.

On the night of May 10, India again attacked Pachistan, and Islamabad announced in response to a military operation.

Against the background of the escalation between India and Pakistan, the threat of nuclear blows increased sharply. In particular, the Prime Minister of Pakistan Shekhbaz Charifs is the collection of the body that controls the nuclear arsenal.

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