After less than 48 hours from the flood of American fire on Iranian nuclear sites, the Ayatollah revenge consumed against the US base in Qatar, but the retaliation was deliberately measured and widely announced.
The attack was launched with ten missiles on AL Udeid, the largest US military structure in the Middle East which has more than 10,000 soldiers and hosts the US Central Command and other allied forces. “You are about them hit the base,” the Pasdaran claimed. “All intercepted and no dead or wounded,” replied a Qatarino spokesman. While the New York Times even speaks of “coordinated” raids between Tehran and Doha, so as to avoid victims and make the response of the purely symbolic Islamic Republic. The maximum alert also started in Iraq, but the launch of a missile directed towards an American structure in the country announced at first was later denied by Baghdad and by the US military. While strokes of the Filo-Teheran militias fell on a compound in Syria.
With hours in advance there have been announcements on the American media of “an imminent attack”, while Doha had already closed the national airspace as a “precaution” measure. And the embassies of the United States, China and the United Kingdom had invited their compatriots to Qatar to “stay at home” for safety. Everything seems to indicate Tehran’s will to close the clash, at least with Washington, in a single move: to choose the base in Qatar “make sense, especially if the Americans are warned in advance”, is the reading of the political analyst Ian Bremmer, which highlights how the base of Al Udeid “can offer a spectacular response to the Iranian public” running less risks to cause another escalation.
Despite everything, and internal use, the Iranian state TV announced Urbi et orbi the ‘Blessing of Victory’ operation, with which Tehran “launched a powerful response to American aggression” just as Donald Trump brought together his security advice in the situation room. While the Pasdaran have exulted by warning that “the message” for the White House is that Iran “will not let any aggression remain unanswered”.
According to sources cited by the CNN, the Tycoon does not want a greater military involvement in the Middle East after the retaliation of Iran. But the unpredictable remains around the corner anyway. The galaxy of the Filiheran militias scattered in the Middle East could be less likely to close it here. And the alert remains for the possibility of attacks by the “dormant cells” of the Islamic Republic in American territory.
For its part, the Iran of propaganda will try to maximize the profit of a revenge that has above all the goal of making the regime breathe, put under check by the Israeli offensive and popular discontent. Fanned and supervised H24 by the Vali-Ye Amr special forces of the revolutionary guards, Ali Khamenei has returned to speak on social networks, promising that “will continue the punishment” against Israel, with which meanwhile war continues. But in the meantime, the weather holds for the search for a successor: according to Reuters online, which cites internal sources aware of the talks, the commission appointed by Ayatollah himself two years ago to identify his substitute has accelerated his work.
The goal is to avoid instability and give continuity to the regime in the event that Khamenei is killed, in an Iranian establishment more divided than ever. In this context, unlike what emerged in recent days, between the two main candidates for the succession there would also be the 56 -year -old son of Khamenei, Mojtaba; The contender would be Hassan Khomeini, grandson of the father of the Islamic Republic.
Strait ally of the reformist faction, Khomeini enjoys respect even among the high prelates and the revolutionary guards because of his descent. And it could represent a more conciliatory choice internationally compared to Mojtaba Khamenei, faithful to the intransigent policies of the father.
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