The USA and Israel attacked Iran’s nuclear objects: what is the last chance for the Iranian regime

The USA and Israel attacked Iran’s nuclear objects: what is the last chance for the Iranian regime

On June 22, there was a large large -scale air blow of the American armed forces on Iran’s nuclear facilities. The operation was attended by six strategic B-2 bombers, which were thrown into the Iranian Uranus Plant in Ford Anti-Bomb. The United States also struck the other two nuclear institutions in Nathang and Isfahan with the help of cruise missiles running from submarines.

Iran’s nuclear program is not completely destroyed, but significantly damaged

It should be noted that US President Donald Trump threatened the Iranian regime for several months, proposing an agreement on the refusal to create nuclear weapons. Currently, two main questions remain: how much this influence has damaged the nuclear capabilities of Iran and how Tehran will try to take revenge on the United States. As for the first question, in his speech in the White House, the US president stated that Iran’s nuclear program was “completely and, finally, destroyed”. This is clearly exaggerated by Donald Trump, but the total strikes of Israel and the United States during the start of the operation against Iran were undoubtedly damaged and delayed the development of Iran’s nuclear program.

Another object in Nathang was already damaged as a result of Israeli blows. If both objects are destroyed, Iran can be left without a high uranium ability. The enriched Uranus itself was stored in Isfahan, which was also attacked by American cruise missiles. Although Iran’s official speakers say that the reserves were exported in advance, it can be stated that damage to the main nuclear facilities of Iran can slow down the nuclear program for many years, it should be borne in mind that Israeli and the United States will continue and achieve even more success.

How Iran can answer US attacks

Iran answers are also limited – to continue to attack Israel, as well as a week before, or add attacks on the military or civilian objects of the United States in the region of the Middle East. Iran can also attack American allies in the region, such as oil fields or other industrial, military or civilian objects of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, etc. In addition, it is possible that it can be the terrorist attacks of the Iranian power of attorney against the United States on their territory or in American objects or citizens outside the United States. It can also be an attempt that will lead to a sharp increase in oil prices, but this step can damage the interests of many countries of the region (including China) and provoke new attacks on Iran’s naval fleet.

Negotiations and nuclear weapons – the chance of the Iranian regime to maintain power

It is safe to say that now the best option for Iran remains leaving shocks of revenge in the United States, especially from terrorist attacks, and as soon as possible the transition to negotiations. This will allow the ruling regime to “keep your face” and not reach mass protests of the population. It is the change in the regime, thus, declares as the purpose of its Israeli operation, and the United States, on the contrary, offer negotiations with the conditions for maintaining power.

According to the analysts of the New York Times, all options for Iran are gloomy, and any of his decisions will become a turning point in the almost fifty -year history of the Islamic Republic. If Iran strokes in the United States, he is threatened with a large large -scale war, which will lead to its collapse or many years of instability, similar to such in Iraq and Afghanistan. If he retreats, agreeing with the cessation of fire, then “become yourself”, with the destroyed nuclear potential, exhausted by the armed forces and almost without a lever of influence for negotiations on the weakening of destructive sanctions. Thus, the status of Iran in the region, where he was considered an influential force for a long time, will also be undermined.

What is the last chance for Iran

In the end, official Tehran does not leave attempts to participate in Russia’s support, referring to the agreement on strategic cooperation, but military assistance was not registered there and it is unlikely that during the fourth year, a grueling war against Ukraine has been waged. Thus, the last chance of Iran may be a direct receipt of several units of nuclear weapons from nuclear countries (which can potentially be Russia, North Korea, Pakistan or even China) and the threat of its use. And here the question is which of these countries will risk at such a step, and most likely it can be Kim Jong, although the direct border with Iran has Pakistan, and Russia has a plane through the Caspian. If this happens, it will be possible to declare with confidence the formation of an anti -wing coalition in the format of Beijing – Moscow – Tehran – Pyongyang and its readiness for the world war, in particular with the limited use of nuclear weapons.

Source: Obozrevatel

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