Economic Agenda: IPCA, Open Stock Exchange Holiday and Fomc minutes mark the highlights of the week

With a holiday in São Paulo in the middle of the week, the Indicators Agenda between July 7 and 11 will be marked by data from inflation Brazilian and minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Market Federal Committee (Fomcin the acronym).

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On Monday (7), the schedule starts early, with a BRICS meeting, followed by the general price index-internal availability (IGP-DI) and the usual Focus Report in Brazil.

On Tuesday (8), retail sales data, refreshed in May, and the expectations of inflation to the consumer of United States warm the day.

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The midweek, Wednesday (9), will have the state holiday of Constitutionalist Revolution of 1932, therefore, the stock exchange (B3) will be open. In the indicators, the market will receive the Minutes of the FOMC meeting.

For Thursday (10) only the National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) July and Weekly requests for US unemployment insurance moving markets.

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And finally, Friday (11) will give us the stage for data such as: GDP of the United Kingdom, growth rate of the service sector here and the US federal budget balance.

In addition, the monthly indicator of economic activity (IBC-BR) recorded 0.8% in March, according to the Central bank (BC).

The advance of the preview of gross domestic product (GDP) was 3.5% compared to the same month of 2024, while in 12 months accumulated was 4.2%. The indicator ended the first quarter with an expansion of 1.3%.

Highlights of the previous week

Here, the economists heard by Central bank reduced projection to the inflation from 2025 from 5.24% to 5.20% in the Focus Bulletin last Monday (30).

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Estimates for gross domestic product (GDP) This year were maintained at 2.21% in this Focus, while for 2026, readjusted from 1.85 to 1.87%. For 2027 and 2028, expected growth for the country is respective 2% and 2%.

At Internacional, the highlight of the week was the latest data from the Payroll. In June this year, the United States (USA) created 147,000 job openings. It was expected that 110,000 new posts would be opened.

Last month’s Payroll also accelerated in front of May’s reading, when the US economy generated 144,000 vacancies-the data was reviewed up.

The acceleration of the US labor market rekindles the uncertainty about the moment Federal Reserve will start the monetary loosening cycle.

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But, the president Jerome Powell It has already signaled that the Central Bank is not in a hurry to cut interest and prefers to wait for new economic data before making any decision.

Check out the indicators agenda from July 7 to 11 (Brasília time):

Monday, July 7

Tuesday, July 8

Wednesday, July 9

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Thursday, July 10

Friday, July 11